Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1936 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1935 |
ARG
3 - 0
URU
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1935 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1937 |
PAR
4 - 2
URU
38%
23%
40%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1931 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1931 |
PAR
0 - 1
ARG
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |