Argentina vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1925 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1925 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1925 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
43%
24%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1924 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
59%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1924 |
URU
0 - 0
ARG
59%
21%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
40%
23%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
0 - 1
URU
41%
23%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1925 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 1925 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1925 |
URU
0 - 1
PAR
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |