Argentina vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
75%
17%
8%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
DEN
61%
24%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
34%
29%
37%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1992 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
57%
25%
19%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1992 |
ARG
3 - 1
KSA
74%
18%
8%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
MEX
43%
29%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1993 |
MEX
2 - 0
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1993 |
ESP
1 - 1
MEX
62%
23%
15%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
ITA
2 - 0
MEX
62%
25%
14%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |