Argentina vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
23.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1991 |
ARG
2 - 0
HUN
49%
27%
24%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1990 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRD
33%
27%
40%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1990 |
ARG
1 - 1
ITA
45%
30%
26%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1990 |
YUG
0 - 0
ARG
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1990 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
72%
18%
10%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
USA
2 - 2
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1991 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
71%
20%
9%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1990 |
BRA
0 - 0
MEX
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1990 |
BEL
3 - 0
MEX
48%
28%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CAN
2 - 1
MEX
25%
30%
46%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | -1 |