Argentina vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
3 - 0
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1930 |
CHI
3 - 0
MEX
38%
23%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
37%
23%
40%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1928 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEX
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -2 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
ESP
7 - 1
MEX
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1924 |
SUR
3 - 1
MEX
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |