Argentina vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
8.7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1994 |
BRA
2 - 0
ARG
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1993 |
GER
1 - 2
ARG
43%
24%
33%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 0
AUS
70%
20%
10%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
AUS
1 - 1
ARG
31%
28%
41%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 5
COL
66%
23%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1994 |
LUX
1 - 2
MAR
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 36 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
MAR
0 - 0
FIN
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
MAR
2 - 1
SVK
64%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1994 |
SRB
1 - 1
MAR
29%
28%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
EGY
39%
30%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |