Argentina vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 0
RSA
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1998 |
ARG
5 - 0
BIH
92%
7%
2%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1998 |
BRA
0 - 1
ARG
76%
15%
9%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
IRL
0 - 2
ARG
29%
27%
44%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 1
YUG
20%
24%
56%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
JPN
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
40%
26%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 0
CZE
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 1
PAR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |