Argentina vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRD
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
68%
17%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
22%
58%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
URU
1 - 0
ARG
30%
24%
46%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
NIR
1 - 0
CSK
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1958 |
WAL
1 - 1
NIR
60%
19%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1958 |
NIR
2 - 1
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1957 |
NIR
2 - 2
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1957 |
ENG
2 - 3
NIR
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | +2 |