Argentina vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1964 |
BRA
0 - 3
ARG
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
ARG
2 - 0
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1963 |
ARG
2 - 3
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1963 |
PAR
0 - 4
ARG
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1963 |
BRA
5 - 2
ARG
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1964 |
ENG
1 - 1
POR
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1964 |
BRA
5 - 1
ENG
55%
20%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1964 |
USA
0 - 10
ENG
25%
20%
54%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
IRL
1 - 3
ENG
28%
21%
51%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
POR
3 - 4
ENG
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |