Argentina vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
POR
1 - 3
ARG
32%
23%
46%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ESP
0 - 1
ARG
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
30%
22%
48%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1951 |
ENG
2 - 1
ARG
60%
19%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1950 |
ARG
4 - 0
PAR
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1953 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
76%
14%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1952 |
ENG
5 - 0
BEL
82%
10%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1952 |
ENG
5 - 2
WAL
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1952 |
NIR
2 - 2
ENG
24%
20%
56%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1952 |
ENG
2 - 4
GRC
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |