Argentina vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
24%
26%
51%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 3
ARG
30%
27%
43%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
20%
25%
56%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
JPN
4 - 3
GHA
64%
22%
13%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
GHA
2 - 0
SDN
72%
19%
9%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GHA
4 - 1
ZAM
54%
25%
20%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
SDN
0 - 2
GHA
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
MLI
0 - 2
GHA
40%
28%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |