Argentina vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1970 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1970 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
ARG
2 - 1
URU
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1970 |
BRA
0 - 2
ARG
75%
15%
9%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
58%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1970 |
FRA
3 - 1
NOR
75%
15%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 0
FRA
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
FRA
3 - 0
CSK
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1970 |
SUI
2 - 1
FRA
34%
23%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |