Argentina vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
3 - 0
PER
62%
20%
18%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
ARG
0 - 0
URU
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
FRA
4 - 1
MEX
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
BEL
1 - 2
FRA
74%
14%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1930 |
FRA
0 - 2
SCO
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1930 |
FRA
2 - 3
CSK
32%
24%
45%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1930 |
FRA
1 - 6
BEL
43%
22%
35%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |