Argentina vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
6 - 3
MEX
61%
20%
18%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 0
FRA
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1930 |
ARG
1 - 1
URU
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1929 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
49%
24%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
PAR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1930 |
USA
3 - 0
BEL
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1928 |
POL
3 - 3
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1928 |
ARG
11 - 2
USA
57%
22%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1926 |
USA
6 - 2
CAN
70%
17%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |