Argentina vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
DDR
63%
19%
18%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 2
BRA
46%
24%
31%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1974 |
NED
4 - 0
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
ARG
4 - 1
HTI
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
ARG
1 - 1
ITA
53%
23%
24%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
GER
2 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |