Argentina vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
14.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARG
62%
20%
18%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
ARG
1 - 1
SUN
75%
16%
10%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
BOL
1 - 2
ARG
29%
25%
46%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1965 |
ARG
4 - 1
BOL
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1966 |
ESP
1 - 1
URY
70%
17%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
47%
21%
31%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1965 |
ESP
1 - 0
IRL
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
ESP
4 - 1
IRL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCT
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |