Argentina vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
19%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1960 |
BRA
5 - 1
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
6%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1960 |
ARG
1 - 4
BRA
54%
22%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
1 - 4
ESP
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1960 |
CHI
0 - 4
ESP
38%
23%
40%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
PER
1 - 3
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 0
ENG
48%
21%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
57%
21%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |