Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
36%
28%
36%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
2 - 2
ARG
24%
28%
48%
|
91 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1983 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1983 |
PAR
1 - 0
ARG
20%
26%
54%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1983 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
78%
16%
6%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1983 |
BRA
5 - 0
ECU
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 95 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 1
BRA
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 95 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1983 |
ECU
2 - 2
ARG
24%
28%
48%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 1983 |
COL
0 - 0
ECU
69%
19%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1983 |
ECU
0 - 0
COL
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |