Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1963 |
PER
2 - 1
ARG
53%
21%
26%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ARG
4 - 2
COL
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1962 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1963 |
PAR
3 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 4
ECU
81%
12%
8%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1959 |
ECU
1 - 2
BRA
25%
22%
52%
|
49 | 89 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1959 |
ECU
3 - 1
PAR
40%
24%
37%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | +2 |