Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 2
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
CHI
4 - 2
ARG
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
73%
15%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
URU
4 - 0
ECU
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1957 |
COL
4 - 1
ECU
87%
8%
5%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 2
ECU
92%
6%
3%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
7 - 1
ECU
93%
5%
2%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
89%
8%
3%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | 0 |