Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 3
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 2
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1943 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARG
32%
23%
44%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1943 |
PAR
2 - 5
ARG
33%
24%
43%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1945 |
URU
5 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
9%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
6 - 3
ECU
70%
16%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1942 |
CHI
2 - 1
ECU
68%
17%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
5 - 1
ECU
79%
12%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1942 |
PER
2 - 1
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |