Argentina vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
64%
18%
17%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1942 |
URU
7 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
PER
4 - 0
ECU
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
URU
6 - 0
ECU
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
CHI
5 - 0
ECU
58%
19%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |