Argentina vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
ARG
5 - 0
JAM
84%
12%
4%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
ARG
1 - 0
JPN
77%
15%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1998 |
ARG
2 - 0
RSA
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1998 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1998 |
ARG
5 - 0
BIH
92%
7%
2%
|
94 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
JPN
0 - 1
CRO
39%
25%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
JAM
1 - 3
CRO
18%
26%
57%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
7 - 0
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
CRO
2 - 0
IRN
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1998 |
CRO
1 - 2
SVK
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |