Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARG
14%
21%
65%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 0
CAN
83%
12%
5%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
URU
0 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
COL
5 - 0
PAN
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
COL
3 - 0
CRC
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
COL
2 - 1
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |