Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
73%
18%
9%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
98 | 98 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 1
ARG
16%
24%
61%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 0
ECU
79%
15%
6%
|
98 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
ARG
19%
25%
57%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
COL
5 - 0
URU
43%
27%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
ECU
2 - 1
COL
39%
28%
33%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SLV
0 - 2
COL
23%
28%
49%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2004 |
PER
0 - 2
COL
40%
28%
32%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
HND
1 - 1
COL
36%
28%
35%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |