Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
0 - 0
PAR
66%
22%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
75%
19%
7%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
27%
29%
44%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 3
ARG
26%
29%
46%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
PER
0 - 1
ARG
18%
27%
55%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
COL
4 - 0
PER
64%
23%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
PAR
1 - 1
COL
49%
29%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
ARG
27%
29%
44%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1993 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
36%
32%
32%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1993 |
COL
0 - 0
PAR
50%
27%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |