Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
0 - 0
ARG
41%
27%
32%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 2
BRA
38%
28%
34%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
72%
19%
9%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1991 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
62%
23%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
0 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1991 |
BRA
2 - 0
COL
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1991 |
CHI
1 - 1
COL
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1991 |
URU
1 - 0
COL
63%
24%
14%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1991 |
COL
2 - 0
BRA
27%
28%
46%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1991 |
COL
0 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |