Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1962 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
HUN
0 - 0
ARG
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
ENG
3 - 1
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1962 |
YUG
5 - 0
COL
92%
6%
3%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1962 |
SUN
4 - 4
COL
84%
10%
6%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
URU
2 - 1
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1962 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1962 |
COL
2 - 2
MEX
30%
21%
49%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |