Argentina vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 2
ECU
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
4 - 0
BOL
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 3
PAR
76%
15%
10%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1945 |
ARG
5 - 2
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1943 |
PAR
2 - 1
ARG
32%
23%
44%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1945 |
CHI
2 - 0
COL
53%
21%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
URU
7 - 0
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 0
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 1
COL
44%
22%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1938 |
COL
2 - 0
VEN
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |