Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
AUS
0 - 1
ARG
17%
24%
60%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 1
ARG
22%
25%
53%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
ARG
54%
21%
25%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 3
ARG
20%
21%
59%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2007 |
ARG
4 - 0
PER
88%
10%
2%
|
97 | 86 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
AUT
0 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
SUI
2 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 6
BRA
6%
13%
80%
|
90 | 99 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2007 |
MEX
0 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
BRA
3 - 0
CHI
90%
8%
2%
|
90 | 98 | 8 | -1 |