Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
VEN
2 - 5
ARG
15%
25%
61%
|
93 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
ARG
1 - 1
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
PER
0 - 0
ARG
18%
26%
56%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1996 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
63%
22%
15%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
21%
27%
52%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1996 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 1
CHI
41%
29%
31%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
COL
4 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
CRC
1 - 1
CHI
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1996 |
CHI
4 - 1
ECU
67%
21%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |