Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 2
ARG
24%
27%
50%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1982 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
46%
24%
30%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1982 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARG
56%
22%
22%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
2 - 0
SLV
86%
10%
4%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1982 |
ARG
4 - 1
HUN
63%
19%
18%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1983 |
CHI
2 - 2
ARG
24%
27%
50%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHI
87%
11%
3%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1982 |
ALG
3 - 2
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1982 |
BRD
4 - 1
CHI
89%
8%
4%
|
81 | 94 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1982 |
CHI
0 - 1
AUT
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |