Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1967 |
ARG
5 - 1
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
ARG
1 - 0
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1967 |
ARG
4 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1966 |
ARG
2 - 0
SUI
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1967 |
URU
2 - 2
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
CHI
4 - 2
PAR
67%
17%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1967 |
CHI
2 - 0
VEN
74%
15%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1966 |
COL
0 - 0
CHI
49%
22%
29%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1966 |
CHI
5 - 2
COL
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |