Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1962 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
HUN
0 - 0
ARG
82%
11%
7%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1962 |
ENG
3 - 1
ARG
77%
13%
10%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
BGR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
45%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
1 - 0
YUG
54%
20%
26%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1962 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
86%
9%
5%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1962 |
CHI
2 - 1
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1962 |
BRD
2 - 0
CHI
76%
14%
10%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |