Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1958 |
CSK
6 - 1
ARG
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1958 |
ARG
3 - 1
NIR
85%
10%
6%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1958 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRD
78%
13%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
URU
68%
17%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
81%
12%
7%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
ARG
4 - 0
CHI
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
CHI
0 - 2
ARG
22%
23%
55%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BOL
3 - 0
CHI
35%
21%
44%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 1
BOL
70%
15%
15%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1957 |
CHI
1 - 1
BRA
27%
22%
51%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |