Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
4 - 0
URU
77%
13%
10%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
3 - 0
ECU
89%
8%
3%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
ARG
8 - 2
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1956 |
ARG
2 - 2
URU
67%
17%
15%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1956 |
URU
1 - 2
ARG
40%
23%
37%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
2 - 2
ECU
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1957 |
CHI
3 - 2
COL
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1957 |
PER
1 - 0
CHI
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1957 |
BRA
4 - 2
CHI
87%
8%
4%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1956 |
CHI
3 - 0
CSK
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |