Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
3 - 2
PER
77%
14%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
7 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1947 |
ARG
6 - 0
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
BRA
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1947 |
ECU
0 - 3
CHI
37%
22%
41%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1947 |
CHI
2 - 1
PER
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1947 |
URU
6 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1946 |
CHI
4 - 1
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
BRA
5 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |