Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
46%
22%
33%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
6 - 2
ARG
43%
22%
35%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 4
ARG
43%
22%
34%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAR
54%
21%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 0
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
0 - 1
BRA
38%
22%
41%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 0
URU
36%
22%
43%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
23%
46%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |