Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
3 - 1
PER
69%
17%
14%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
12 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
64%
18%
17%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1942 |
PAR
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1942 |
URU
6 - 1
CHI
69%
17%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
URU
2 - 0
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |