Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
14%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1934 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 2
ARG
61%
19%
21%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1933 |
URU
0 - 1
ARG
52%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ARG
4 - 1
URU
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1933 |
URU
2 - 1
ARG
51%
22%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1934 |
CHI
4 - 3
JPN
53%
21%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1934 |
PHL
0 - 2
CHI
31%
23%
46%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1934 |
CHI
2 - 0
INE
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1930 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1930 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRA
53%
20%
26%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |