Argentina vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1922 |
ARG
3 - 3
PAR
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 1922 |
URU
2 - 2
ARG
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1922 |
ARG
1 - 3
URU
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1921 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
46%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1922 |
CHI
0 - 2
URU
29%
23%
48%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1922 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
31%
24%
46%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1921 |
CHI
1 - 4
ARG
32%
24%
45%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1920 |
CHI
1 - 2
URU
28%
23%
49%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |