Argentina vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1995 |
DEN
2 - 0
ARG
50%
25%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1995 |
NGA
0 - 0
ARG
26%
27%
47%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
JPN
1 - 5
ARG
27%
27%
47%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1994 |
ARG
1 - 0
YUG
45%
27%
29%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1994 |
ARG
1 - 0
ROU
55%
25%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1994 |
WAL
0 - 3
BGR
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 1
MDA
86%
10%
4%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
BGR
2 - 0
GEO
90%
8%
3%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1994 |
SWE
4 - 0
BGR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
1 - 2
ITA
37%
29%
35%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |