Argentina vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
3 - 1
NED
66%
18%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
6 - 0
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
0 - 0
BRA
49%
24%
28%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
ARG
65%
19%
16%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1979 |
SUN
3 - 1
BGR
76%
17%
7%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
BGR
1 - 0
DDR
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1979 |
CYP
0 - 1
BGR
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
BGR
0 - 2
NIR
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 2
BGR
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |