Argentina vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1962 |
ARG
1 - 0
MEX
70%
17%
13%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1962 |
URU
1 - 1
ARG
39%
24%
37%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1961 |
ARG
1 - 2
SUN
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
ARG
5 - 1
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SUN
0 - 0
ARG
33%
24%
43%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1962 |
AUT
2 - 0
BGR
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
BEL
4 - 0
BGR
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
BGR
1 - 0
FRA
47%
23%
31%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BGR
3 - 1
FIN
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |