Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
PAR
2 - 3
ARG
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
46%
24%
31%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
11 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1975 |
BRA
2 - 1
ARG
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1975 |
VEN
1 - 5
ARG
41%
26%
34%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1976 |
URU
1 - 2
BRA
23%
26%
52%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
PER
0 - 2
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1975 |
BRA
1 - 3
PER
79%
13%
8%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1975 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
46%
24%
31%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
BRA
6 - 0
VEN
80%
12%
8%
|
92 | 63 | 29 | 0 |