Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1959 |
URU
5 - 0
ARG
52%
23%
25%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
ECU
85%
10%
6%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1959 |
ARG
4 - 2
PAR
80%
12%
8%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1959 |
CHI
4 - 2
ARG
19%
22%
59%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1959 |
ARG
1 - 1
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 1
ECU
89%
7%
4%
|
89 | 49 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1959 |
URU
3 - 0
BRA
48%
23%
29%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1959 |
BRA
3 - 2
PAR
85%
9%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHI
87%
9%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1959 |
BRA
7 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
90 | 73 | 17 | 0 |