Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ARG
0 - 1
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1960 |
MEX
0 - 2
ARG
38%
24%
39%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1960 |
CRC
0 - 2
ARG
46%
22%
31%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
ARG
2 - 1
BRA
54%
22%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
ARG
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 4
BRA
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 8 | 81 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1960 |
EGY
0 - 3
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
EGY
1 - 3
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
EGY
0 - 5
BRA
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |