Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
URU
66%
17%
17%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
3 - 1
CHI
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
7 - 1
BOL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1946 |
ARG
2 - 0
PAR
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1945 |
BRA
3 - 1
ARG
46%
22%
33%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1946 |
BRA
5 - 1
CHI
78%
13%
10%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
1 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
4 - 3
URU
60%
18%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1946 |
BRA
3 - 0
BOL
83%
11%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1946 |
URU
1 - 1
BRA
48%
21%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |