Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1942 |
ARG
4 - 3
PAR
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
1 - 0
URU
62%
20%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
6 - 1
ECU
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1941 |
ARG
2 - 1
PER
68%
18%
15%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1942 |
BRA
6 - 1
CHI
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
1 - 1
URU
55%
20%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BRA
3 - 4
URU
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ARG
5 - 1
BRA
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ARG
2 - 3
BRA
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |