Argentina vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
2 - 3
URU
56%
22%
23%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
1 - 0
PER
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
6 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
16%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1936 |
ARG
2 - 1
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1937 |
ARG
1 - 0
BRA
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
3 - 2
URU
48%
22%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
5 - 0
PAR
65%
18%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1937 |
BRA
6 - 4
CHI
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1936 |
BRA
3 - 2
PER
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |